CIH Hog Margin Watch: August – Swineweb.com


Hog margins fell during the primary part of August as a robust pullback in lean hog futures greater than offset weak spot within the corn and soybean meal markets. Home slaughter charges proceed to upward push, signaling a possible seasonal best in money hog costs as we input the autumn. Reputable business information via June was once launched August 9. On a carcass weight foundation, June exports have been 6 % not up to the former month however 10 % upper than a 12 months in the past. 12 months-to-date, exports are 10 % upper than a 12 months in the past with good points to almost each main buying and selling spouse. Mexico and China have led the pack in quantity good points during the first part of the 12 months. Exports are operating about 80 million (cwe) kilos in the back of the ancient tempo had to meet USDA’s annual forecast. Red meat imports are 24 % decrease year-to-date. The biggest discounts in imports from a 12 months in the past have come from Canada and Denmark. The present import tempo is relatively forward of the ancient tempo had to meet USDA’s annual forecast. World hog costs have normally trended upper over the last month, doubtlessly offering a tailwind to U.S. red meat exports. USDA on August 11
launched its per thirty days WASDE record. Meat manufacturing in 2023 was once diminished on decrease pork, red meat, and broiler forecasts. Hog slaughter during the finish of the 12 months was once raised albeit with decrease carcass weights. For 2024, red meat manufacturing was once unchanged from closing month and is predicted to extend 0.3 % year-over-year. In line with capita disappearance of red meat was once reduced marginally from closing month for 2024 however is predicted to be in large part unchanged from 2023. Weekly sow slaughter has been monitoring upper for the reason that starting of June, partially because of an building up in imported sows from Canada. Sow costs have additionally trended upper after bottoming in late-Might. Are living hog imports totaled 3.3 million head within the first part of the
12 months. These kinds of animals originated from Canada. 3-quarters of the Canadian hogs weighed not up to 110 kilos. Fresh rainfall and loss of export call for have taken possibility top class out of the feed markets after a spike early closing month. Our purchasers proceed to watch for strategic changes to current positions whilst comparing ahead margin alternatives, emphasizing the will for flexibility in all protection.

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The Hog Margin calculation assumes that 73 lbs of soybean meal and 5.3 bushels of corn are required to supply 100 lean hog lbs. Further assumed prices come with $44 according to cwt for different feed and non-feed bills.

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