Higher manufacturing constrained via avian influenza outbreaks
7 September 2023
2 minute learn
Progressed shares at poultry breeder amenities and decrease feed costs are forecast to extend Mexico’s hen meat manufacturing via 2% in 2024, in keeping with a up to date US Division of Agriculture (USDA) International Agricultural Knowledge Community (GAIN) file.
Manufacturing is forecast 2% upper from 2023 to three.9 MMT on a projected modest decline in feed costs and powerful home call for. Higher biosecurity measures carried out to stop illness outbreaks within the aftermath of the outbreak of extremely pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in 2022 and higher investments in broiler genetics are anticipated to improve higher manufacturing.
For 2023, manufacturing is estimated 1% upper from 2022 at 3.8 MMT. Reasonably much less increased grains costs mixed with a record-level appreciation of the Mexican peso are estimated to decrease manufacturer prices and spur higher manufacturing. Alternatively, huge will increase to manufacturing are constrained via persevered restoration from the 2022 HPAI outbreak which led to culled breeding flocks. Whilst Mexico made investments into broiler genetics, additional will increase to manufacturing don’t seem to be anticipated till 2024.
As of June 2023, SIAP studies 1.6 MMT of hen meat manufacturing. Hen manufacturing is unfold throughout Mexico, with sixty p.c of reported manufacturing to this point this 12 months coming from the states of Veracruz, Jalisco, Aguascalientes, Queretaro, Durango, and Guanajuato.
Mexico is recently the 6th biggest hen meat manufacturer globally and meets as regards to 80% of home hen meat intake. Over the past ten years, home hen meat manufacturing has grown greater than 30%.
Whilst imports expanded 45 p.c all through the similar duration, they have got persevered to account for 20 p.c of home intake, indicating that expansion in imports will proceed to be tied to and constrained via general intake expansion.
Mexico’s competitiveness as a poultry manufacturer is pushed via the provision of native labour and get admission to to a price-competitive provide of considerable feed grains and oilseeds, co-products corresponding to distiller’s dried grains with solubles (DDGS), and different inputs together with poultry genetics from america.